Methodology
explained
The number of flights and active fleet are the primary drivers of the overall demand for civil aviation professionals. Properly staffing these flights and replacing pilots, cabin crew, and aircraft maintenance technicians leaving the workforce due to retirement and attrition represent the underlying causes of the demand. To forecast the demand over the next ten years, we first looked at the current commercial and business aviation aircraft fleets, and calculated the personnel required to fly and maintain them. Then, we looked at forecast fleet changes (both new deliveries and retirements of older models), and calculated the additional personnel required for the anticipated fleet growth. Finally, we used estimated retirement and turnover rates to calculate the personnel required to replace those retiring or leaving the industry.